Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.475510 0.561337 0.656836 0.770777 0.902817 1.050804 1.229025
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.405639 0.528096 0.676786 0.869801 1.112834 1.407726 1.791599
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.320252 0.456869 0.636742 0.888991 1.231369 1.677324 2.299156
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.268123 0.416531 0.627116 0.944054 1.404432 2.043308 2.990040
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.224205 0.377807 0.611772 0.988008 1.570004 2.426018 3.766746
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.182692 0.333158 0.578566 0.998975 1.689159 2.761136 4.528777
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.150427 0.295916 0.549173 1.009715 1.809011 3.114731 5.372142
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.130540 0.275563 0.543675 1.058650 1.998722 3.605875 6.504656
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.122542 0.275615 0.574246 1.176341 2.325359 4.369301 8.193957
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.107455 0.257829 0.567627 1.223467 2.531808 4.952672 9.649935
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.089605 0.229657 0.534577 1.212558 2.626305 5.346428 10.816590
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.072175 0.197814 0.487051 1.162593 2.634713 5.578687 11.710997
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.058418 0.171520 0.447133 1.123713 2.664811 5.867825 12.776788
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.052737 0.164393 0.450187 1.182370 2.914202 6.633045 14.894197
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.043349 0.144417 0.417527 1.150742 2.957689 6.977360 16.194415
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038179 0.135034 0.409759 1.178608 3.143237 7.651232 18.278165
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.033568 0.125955 0.400775 1.201716 3.321487 8.333064 20.465545
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.028599 0.114097 0.381216 1.192735 3.418699 8.843192 22.332554
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.024590 0.104162 0.364900 1.189441 3.530073 9.401350 24.379168
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.022366 0.099966 0.365250 1.234450 3.777458 10.319939 27.385774
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.022148 0.103422 0.390999 1.360629 4.267163 11.898123 32.160339
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.020214 0.099374 0.390973 1.407494 4.541485 12.964506 35.792226
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.017363 0.090427 0.371898 1.390022 4.627728 13.555916 38.300367